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The VOLANTE Roadmapping process

 

Visions of the future stimulate dialogue, help build a consensus on shared priorities, and support planning by providing long-term targets. Land use is determined by the complex interface between the biophysical environment, and human activity shaped by historical and current cultural and socio-economic processes. Many groups may have contrasting interests in the land, and any change can be contentious. Understanding these different viewpoints and finding common ground will therefore have to be the first step towards managing sustainable land use change.

Figure 2 gives a schematic representation of the roadmapping process we followed in VOLANTE. For this purpose Explorative Scenarios are adopted as boundary conditions (see Using scenarios to define a range of possible futures), and Policy Alternatives are defined as a basis for model simulation to explore whether land use transitions create pathways towards the desired land use visions (see The VOLANTE policy alternatives and pathways towards the visions). Selected pathways towards the Visions are described, and when feasible selected as Robust Pathways (see Selecting Robust Pathways). These pathways and their trade-offs are evaluated according to experiences in the past (see Learning from the past), for each of the visions (see VOLANTE Visions Best Land in Europe, Regional Connected, Local Multifunctional).

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Figure 2 Schematic representations of the VOLANTE Roadmapping process

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